Estimating the number of years lost in Masaka District due to the AIDS pandemic : a model-based analysis

Abstract

The study used a model-based analysis (Brass relation model and InDepth model systems) and the 1991 census infant and child mortality estimates to estimate the years of life lost due to AIDS mortality, for Masaka District in Central Uganda. The main objective of the study was to estimate premature mortality in terms of years of potential life lost (YPLL) among HIV/ AIDS affected population in Masaka District. The specific objectives were to: estimate the life expectancy of people living with or without HIV/AIDS; ascertain the affected HIV/AIDS on the age structure; and estimate the potential years of life lost to HIV/AIDS. The Hypothesis of Study assertions were: Life expectancy is likely to be high among the people living without HIV; Younger ages are more likely to be affected by HIV/AIDS; and the Potential years of life lost due to HIV/AIDS are likely to be lower in male than females. The findings from the study were: the Life expectancy in 1991 was 52 and 56 for males and females respectively while in 2002 stood at 60 years for male and 58 for women. The PYLL in 1991 was 21096.9 (Male) and 17397 (Female) compared to in 2002 where the PYLL was 139200 (Male) and 16102 (Female). This implies that the life expectancy has improved and the PYLL are decreasing but still threateningly high.