Crime rate analysis in Uganda
Abstract
The main objective of this study was to analyze the crime rate in various policing regions in Uganda and to analyze the regional variation in crime rates from 2014 to 2021. The researcher adopted a time series study the analysis was done on Univariate and multivariate analysis. The data used was secondary data collected and compiled from the Uganda police forces annual reports and the Uganda police abstract which was extracted from the Uganda police website. From the Univariate analysis, Kampala South had the highest crime rate with an average crime rate of 843.831 the ANOVA analysis showed that there is variation in the regional crime rate and there is variation within the crime rates. The linear regression of the number of police stations with crime showed police stations have a significant effect on the crime rate in the various policing regions. A decrease in police stations by one in 2017/2016 increased the crime rate by 7.767, an increase in police stations by one in 2015/2014 decreased the crime rate by 8.861, and in the absence of police stations, the crime rate would be 891.429. As the Government increases the number of police stations, it should seek out other measures to reduce the crime rate such as reducing poverty, and population redistribution policies to reduce the density of the population in some regions. Further studies can be done on factors influencing and causing regional variations in the crime rate in Uganda that would help other researchers to understand the patterns of crime rate in Uganda, and other areas such as the impact of technology, social media, and transnational organized crime on crime rates in Uganda.