Secondary school enrollment in Uganda for the period (2000-2020)

Abstract

The study focuses on the analysis of the secondary school enrolment in Uganda. The entire study was set to find out whether the student enrolment from the period 2000-2020 of secondary schools was either positively or negatively trended. This was done using basing on secondary data from Uganda education statistical abstracts, Annual school censuses (ASC) and the ministry of education and sports (MoES) datasheets. This study explores time series models in projecting the number of students enrolled in each year as a forecasting support for the educational policy makers. A statistical modeling method was adapted in developing the models which included problem identification, data collection and model formulation which mainly used the regression analysis and the scatter plot to analyze the trends and patterns in the data. The resulting forecasts can be used to support in the number of sections to be opened in schools before the enrolment of new students commence. The study also compares the enrolment rates of male and female students. A compound bar graph was plotted. Males were more at advantage with regard to accessing basic and secondary school education than their female counterparts over the years, the sex differentials in access to education seems to have disappeared in 2011 since all were given equal opportunities to access secondary school education by the government and other nongovernmental organizations, the more reason why girl child should be emphasized to enhance equality and thus social development.