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dc.contributor.authorBirungi, Gabriella Elsa
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-12T10:32:41Z
dc.date.available2021-03-12T10:32:41Z
dc.date.issued2021-02
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12281/9481
dc.descriptionA dissertation submitted to school of statistics and planning in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of Bachelor of Science in business statistics of Makerere University Kampalaen_US
dc.description.abstractThe overall objective was to determine the impact of public debt on economic growth of Uganda using non-linear ARDL model. The study specifically focused on establishing the relationship between external debt, domestic debt, population growth rate, inflation rate and economic growth. The study explained the summary (descriptive statistics) at the univariate level while pairwise correlation and Nonlinear ARDL technique were employed at bivariate level and multivariate level respectively. The ARDL bounds test revealed the presence of a long run relationship among the variables. The nonlinear ARDL model indicated that;one period lagged positive changes in domestic debt stock; negative changes, positive changes and one period lagged positive changes in external debt stock; Positive changes in POPR; negative and one period lagged negative changes in INFL influence economic growth. The study recommended that the government of Uganda should adopt local currency funding, only invest the borrowed money into productive activities and support the agricultural sector. The study concluded that Inflation rate, domestic debt stock, population growth rate and external debt stock influence GDP per Capita (economic growth).en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherMakerere Universityen_US
dc.subjectUgandaen_US
dc.subjectNon linear ARDL modelen_US
dc.subjectDomestic debten_US
dc.subjectPopulation growthen_US
dc.subjectEconomic growthen_US
dc.titleAnalysis of the impact of public debt on economic growth of Uganda (1970-2019); using nonlinear ARDL modelen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US


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