School of Statistics and Planning (SSP) Collection
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ItemInflation dynamics and household consumption: an empirical analysis across economic periods (2000 – 2024).(Makerere University, 2026)This study examines the effect of inflation on household consumption in Uganda over the period 2000 to 2024 using annual time-series data sourced from the World Bank World Development Indicators. Existing studies in Uganda treat this relationship as structurally static and fail to apply time series methods capable of distinguishing short run from long run dynamic gaps this study examines. The study pursues two specific objectives: To examine how the relationship between inflation and household consumption varies across different economic periods and to determine the short-run and long-run effects of inflation on household consumption. To address the first objective, the study estimates an Ordinary Least Squares regression of household consumption on inflation, real GDP per capita and an interaction term between inflation and an economic crisis dummy which tests whether the relationship is dependent on periods. To address the second objective, Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root tests are first conducted to establish each variable’s order of integration and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach is applied followed by an Error Correction Model (ECM) that decomposes the relationship into short run dynamics and a long run equilibrium correcting term. Diagnostic tests for heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity and serial correlation are conducted throughout to validate the OLS estimates. The results indicate no statistically significant relationship between household consumption and inflation in Uganda. While the estimated coefficients are negative, neither coefficient is statistically significant at conventional levels. Consequently, both null hypotheses are not rejected. Real GDP per capita is confirmed as the dominant positive driver of household consumption, with a coefficient of 0.0513 (p < 0.001), confirming income as the primary determinant of consumption. The ARDL bounds test indicates no statistically significant long run cointegration at conventional levels, though the Error Correction Term is negative (0.1454) and the long-run model is statistically significant overall (R² = 0.9550, F = 106.10, p < 0.001). The speed of adjustment is approximately 14.5% per year. The study recommends that the Bank of Uganda sustain inflation below 5% through monetary policy as a precautionary measure and that the government implement fiscal measures targeting household income support during crisis periods. These findings have important implications for macroeconomic policy design and household welfare protection in Uganda.
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ItemFactors associated with modern contraceptive use among women aged 15-49 in Kigezi Sub-Region(Makerere University, 2026)
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ItemThe role of financial accounting on the growth of small and medium enterprises in uganda(Makerere University, 2023)The objective of the study was to determine the effect of financial accounting on the growth of small and medium enterprises in Mukono district, Ntenjeru Sub-county. Specifically, financing options (borrowing and saving) and book keeping as factors that affect growth on small and medium enterprises were investigated. Primary data was used in this study and it was collected using questionnaires from 120 respondents who were business men and women and analysis was done using frequency distribution tables, Pearson chi square test for independence. Results show that more than half of the respondents (53.3%) were businessmen and business women accounted for 46.7%. 42.5% were aged 40 and above years and 65.8% were married/cohabiting with most of them (37.5%) having attained primary education as the highest level of education. Majority of the respondents (33.3%) were Protestants. Majority of the respondents (41.7%) participated in cottage industry and 30.8% of the respondents reported having been in business for a period of 7-10 years. Findings depict high level of awareness about financial management among business men and women (66.7%) with the most educated being more aware (20.9%, post-secondary, 23.8% secondary education). Findings show that relatively high level of financial accounting (60.4%) by business men and women. Borrowings, savings and book keeping had a significant impact on the growth of the business (P-values < 0.05). Findings show that SMEs are motivated to utilize accounting practices by factors such as enabling them to increase profitability, influences better decision making, reduces on business costs and eases filing of taxes. Based on the findings of the study, the following recommendations can be made. There is need for people in business to properly account for their finances if they are to continuously realize business growth. This is based on the finding that business men and women who were able to account for resources realized business growth. Business men and women need to carryout record keeping for the growth of businesses. This includes recording business sales, inventory, income and expenditure among others. In addition to this, record keeping needs to be done on a daily basis to avoid missing out important information. Business men and women need to establish different financing options such as borrowing and using savings for the growth of their businesses. This is evidenced in the findings as those who had used and properly managed borrowings and savings realized business growth in the recent two years.
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ItemImpact of socio-demographic factors on the choice of telecommunications service providers: a case study of areas of Kikoni, Makerere, Kasubi and Kikumi kikumi(Makerere University, 2024)This study investigates the impact of socio-demographic factors on consumer choice of telecommunication service providers in Uganda, focusing on gender, income, age, education, and location. The research problem centers on the challenges faced by telecom providers in retaining customers amidst intense competition and frequent switching of providers. Using a descriptive research design, data was collected via questionnaires from 164 respondents in Makerere, Kikoni, Kasubi, and Kikumi Kikumi areas. Data analysis involved descriptive statistics, Pearson Chi-square tests, and regression analysis to determine the relationships between socio-demographic factors and customer choices. Key findings indicate that gender significantly influences consumer choice, with males less likely to be attached to specific providers. Additionally, network coverage, internet speed, call quality, and brand reputation emerged as critical determinants of consumer preference, while factors like income, age, education, and occupation showed minimal influence. The study recommends that telecom providers focus on product differentiation and align services with socio-demographic needs, emphasizing quality and technological advancements to improve customer satisfaction and market share. Further research is suggested to explore these dynamics in broader contexts and larger samples to refine strategies for customer retention and acquisition.
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ItemThe impact of social media on small scale businesses( 2024)The objective of the study was to study the impact of social media on small scale businesses. In other words, it aimed at finding out how social media usage affects marketing, the performance of the organization, information accessibility and customer relations. The study used primary data and was collected using google forms on a sample of 100 respondents. The analysis was done using Cochran’s formula (1963), chi square and ordinal logistic regression. In the results, I found out that 69.31% of my respondents had good profits due to the use of social media, majority of the respondents’ small scale businesses grew due to the use of social media, 70.3% of the respondents’ market for their products expanded and 56.44% of my respondents agree that the usage of social media has enabled them improve on their customer relations. In the bivariate analysis, it was found out that there is a significant relationship between social media usage and growth of the profits of the business, growth of the business, access to information concerning the business after social usage respectively. While social media is most likely to affect the use of social media for marketing according to the multivariate analysis. Therefore, there is a need to have policy interventions designed to encourage the use of social media and embrace the special characteristics of small firms at government and learning institutions levels. Small firms should therefore be encouraged to share social media experience among themselves and in collaboration with higher learning institutions that are actively conducting research. This will help SMEs to better understand and use social media to foster their growth.