School of Statistics and Planning (SSP) Collection
Permanent URI for this collection
Browse
Recent Submissions
1 - 5 of 2476
-
ItemAssessing the Contribution of Motorized Two-Wheelers (BodaBoda) to Urban Mobility and its Underlying Growth Dynamics in Wakiso Town, Uganda.(Makerere University, 2023)In Wakiso Town, the rapid pace of urbanization has outstripped the development of formal public transport infrastructure, creating a significant mobility gap. Motorized two-wheelers, commonly known as boda-bodas, have emerged as a dominant and indispensable component of the urban transport system, offering point-to-point connectivity that formal services fail to provide. However, this proliferation is a symptom of underlying growth dynamics and a lack of integrated planning. The study addresses the specific problem of how informal transport fills the void left by inadequate formal systems and how the spatial expansion of Wakiso Town drives the continuous increase in boda-boda operations, often without a clear regulatory framework. The primary goal of this research was to assess the contribution of boda-bodas to urban mobility in Wakiso Town while examining the dynamics driving their growth. To achieve this, five key hypotheses were tested: (H1) boda-boda usage has a significant positive effect on urban accessibility; (H2) inadequate formal transport predicts increased reliance on boda-bodas; (H3) urban spatial expansion is associated with the growth of operations; (H4) socio-economic factors influence participation in the sector; and (H5) regulatory effectiveness moderates the relationship between growth and mobility outcomes. The study employed a quantitative research design focusing on the "supplier side" of the transport equation—the riders. Data were collected from a sample of 280 boda-boda riders in Wakiso Town using a structured survey questionnaire administered via the KoboCollect platform. The sampling strategy targeted riders at various stages to ensure a representative cross-section of the population. Statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS, involving descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation to test H1 and H3, regression analysis for H2, and moderation analysis for H5. The findings revealed that the typical rider completes approximately 18 trips per day, covering an average of 5 km per trip. While the study established that boda-bodas are a critical "livelihoods frontier" for low-educated youth, several core hypotheses were not supported by the data. Specifically, the expected trade-off between trip distance and frequency (H3) was non-significant, suggesting heterogeneous operational strategies in peri-urban contexts. Furthermore, the study found a significant negative association between high operational intensity and perceived accessibility, indicating that as daily trips increase, riders face greater congestion and regulatory friction. The research concludes that boda-bodas in Wakiso Town operate less as a "last-mile feeder" to formal transit and more as an independent, survivalist economic sector. The study recommends that the Wakiso Town Council move beyond enforcement-only policies toward an integrated planning framework. Specifically, the council should implement localized zoning, improved parking infrastructure, and fair regulatory practices that recognize the essential mobility role these riders play while mitigating the negative externalities of unplanned growth.
-
ItemFactors influencing HIV test among young women with disabilities in Uganda.(Makerere University, 2023)Background: HIV infection continues to be a global and public health concern. Despite the significant impact of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and other preventive strategies in the reduction of new HIV infections and AIDS-related deaths, HIV remains the leading cause of deaths among young women with disabilities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). I examined the predictors of HIV testing among women with disabilities in Uganda. Methods: The study, based on data from the 2016 Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (UDHS), analyzed 129 weighted cases of women with disabilities. Frequency tables, Chi-squared tests and binary logistic regression were used to analyze the data and examine the predictors of HIV testing among women with disabilities in Uganda. The main explanatory variables included age, marital status, education, wealth index, religion, residence and total life time sexual partners and media exposure. Results: The overall prevalence of HIV testing among women with disabilities in Uganda was 56%. Marital status, level of education, and region of residence were statistically associated with HIV testing. The odds of HIV testing were higher among ever married women compared with never-married women [OR=59.92; CI: 6.14-584.69; p=0.001]. HIV testing was higher among women with secondary and above education compared to women with primary or no education [OR=3.61; CI: 1.28-10.17; p=0.016]. Likewise, among women with disabilities, women from Western region were more likely to test for HIV compared with women from Central region with odds [OR=5.48; CI: 1.57-19.16; p=0.008]. Conclusion: Improving uptake of HIV testing among women with disabilities requires addressing a wide range of health system challenges. There is a need to improve HIV knowledge and continue to address the fear of HIV positive test results and HIV related stigma. Sensitization of the women about HIV testing especially those with less primary or no education since they have less knowledge about HIV testing. The factors that influenced HIV testing were marital status, region and level of education, marital status influenced HIV testing because women that are married are sexually active and therefore they opt for HIV testing as a couple, then level of education influence HIV testing because educated women have prior knowledge and are exposed to HIV testing programs , and region also influences HIV testing, this could be because from the western are sensitized about HIV testing compared to other regions.
-
ItemFactors affecting students’ utilisation of health services at Makerere University Hospital. A case of School of Statistics and Planning( 2024)The utilization of health services at Makerere University Hospital is a critical aspect for students‟ welfare and academic success. This research aims to analyze the patterns, determinants and the factors associated with the use of these services by the students of the school of statistics and planning which involves a descriptive cross-sectional study utilizing quantitative data collection methods. From a population of 500 students, a sample of 109 students was interviewed using an online questionnaire and data on their health service utilization, satisfaction levels, was gathered. The pre-designed semi-structured questionnaire used contained four sections namely; demographic factors, utilization of health services, factors that affect the utilization of health services and the attitudes towards health services at the University hospital. More than three-quarters, (76%) were found to have visited as well as utilized health services while the remainder of (24%) were found to have never visited the hospital at any one point during their stay at the University. Given the percentage of those that had ever utilized health, (33%) had visited the hospital for more two times followed by those that had visited the hospital for once, (24%) yet the left proportion (19%) was for those that had visited the hospital for exactly two times. Of those students that had ever visited University hospital, more than half of the students had utilized general medical care, (17%) utilized laboratory services, (14%) utilized HIV/AIDS testing and counselling, (7%) utilized safe male circumcision, (6%) utilized family planning services, (5%) utilized vaccination services and lastly (2%) were found to have utilized eye care/treatment. This research gives the importance of factors that affect the utilization of health services to ensure that students can fully benefit from the health services provided by Makerere University Hospital. By improving access and satisfaction, the university can significantly contribute to the well-being and academic success of its students.
-
ItemTrends in Coffee exports : a time series analysis(Makerere University, 2024)Objective: The purpose of this study is to examine the evolving trends in Uganda’s coffee exports, analyze key factors influencing these trends, and assess the impact of coffee export performance on the national economy. This research aims to provide insights into the dynamics of Uganda’s coffee trade, identify challenges, and offer recommendations for enhancing the sector’s growth potential. Problem Statement: Uganda is one of the largest coffee producers in Africa and a major exporter of both Arabica and Robusta coffee. However, in recent years, the coffee export sector has faced several challenges, including fluctuating global prices, climate change, pests, and inconsistent quality control. Despite these challenges, coffee remains one of Uganda’s top foreign exchange earners. Understanding the trends in coffee exports is crucial for improving the competitiveness of Uganda’s coffee industry in the global market. Methodology: This study employs a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative analysis of export data from Uganda’s Coffee Development Authority (UCDA) and qualitative insights from interviews with industry stakeholders, including coffee farmers, exporters, and policymakers. The quantitative analysis covers a period from 1990 to 2022, focusing on export volumes, prices, and key destination markets. The qualitative component examines the perceptions of stakeholders regarding the barriers and opportunities in the coffee export sector. Descriptive statistical methods and trend analysis are used to interpret the export data, while thematic analysis is applied to the interview responses. Results: The findings indicate a general increase in Uganda's coffee exports over the past two decades, with fluctuations linked to both global market conditions and internal challenges. Uganda’s coffee export volume has grown from 3.2 million 60kg bags in 2000 to over 5.7 million bags in 2023. Key destination markets include the European Union, the United States, and Japan, with Robusta coffee dominating exports. Despite growth in volume, export revenues have been volatile due to price instability and low-quality production in certain regions. Factors such as the adoption of modern farming practices, improved post-harvest handling, and government support programs have played significant roles in enhancing the competitiveness of Uganda’s coffee exports. Conclusion: Uganda’s coffee export sector has experienced positive growth over the last two decades, but there remain several challenges that could limit future expansion, particularly related to quality control, market access, and climate-related disruptions. To ensure sustained growth, it is crucial for the government and industry stakeholders to continue focusing on improving coffee quality, diversifying export markets, and enhancing value addition. Future policies should prioritize support for smallholder farmers, invest in research on climate-resilient coffee varieties, and promote fair-trade initiatives to bolster Uganda’s position as a leading global coffee exporter.
-
ItemDeterminants of safe sex negotiation among married women in rural areas of Uganda(Makerere University, 2023)Background: Improving women’s ability to negotiate for safer sex would have positive effects on their sexual and reproductive health such as reduction in sexually transmitted infections that could cause harm and damage to a woman. In my study I examined the relationship between safe sex negotiations among married women in rural areas of Uganda. Methods: In the study I used the qualitative analysis of Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (UDHS) data of 2016. A total of weighted sample of 8,366.5 married women in rural areas aged 15–49 were included in our analyses. I examined the association between safe sex negotiation and independent variables using the bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis and using the univariate analysis to find out the frequency and percentages. Results: The overall prevalence of safe sex negotiation among married women in rural areas of Uganda was 79.2% where age, education, wealth status, region and frequency of watching television were found out to be the predictors of SSN among married women in rural areas of Uganda. Women aged 20-24 are 90% more likely to negotiate for safe sex than women in age group of 15–19 years. Likewise, those with at least primary level of education 67.37% approximately with [OR= (0.1493205); CI = 1.167-1.758] are more likely to negotiate for safe sex compared to those with no formal education. Women in middle wealth index 44.31% [OR = 1.264689; CI = 1.032-1.549] are more likely to negotiate for safe sex than those in the poor wealth index. Conclusions: The finding will help in increasing male involvement in sexual and reproductive health is important to accelerate progress towards the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal (3 & 5) and their targets on empowering all women and safeguarding their reproductive rights. The findings will also enhance women’s awareness of safe sexual practices and how to achieve safe sexual relations with partners and also know the risky sexual behaviours and avoid them as early as possible.