School of Statistics and Planning (SSP) Collection
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ItemRetirement savings knowledge and attitude amongst informal workers in Uganda. A case study of Kamwokya market vendors.(Makerere University, 2026)Retirement is a stage of life where involvement in certain social activities and desirable conducts become less or narrow. Retirement life without savings requires continuous employment or working and the life style remains the same with that of the young aged although the individual reaches retirement age. Lack of proper retirement planning preparation will generally bring some disappointment during retirement. Thus, saving for retirement is extremely important. The main aim of the study is to examine the extent to which knowledge, attitude and other factors contribute to the low retirement savings in Uganda’s informal sector. This quantitative cross-sectional study involved distribution of 171 sets of questionnaires to respondents who were self-employed and informal sector workers in Kamwokya market. Univariate analysis, Pearson correlation and linear regression were performed on the variables in the study using STATA. The results of the study revealed significant relationships between saving for retirement and marital status, knowledge on whether one will have enough for retirement and also knowledge of the presence of an authority that protects the interests of members and beneficiaries of retirement benefit schemes. There were no relationships between the other unmentioned variables/factors and saving for retirement. The researcher therefore concluded that one’s knowledge on saving for retirement was most likely to influence their ability and willingness to save for retirement. The demographic factors hardly have an effect on saving for retirement, whereas ones attitude totally has no effect on their ability to save for retirement. There is therefore a need for sensitization and education of masses on various aspects within the retirement benefits sector, and this knowledge will instil some confidence within Ugandans so that they can save for their retirement in the available schemes and financial institutions. On top of incentives for this young sector, the government should look into the Retirement Benefits sector Appeals Tribunal and the Liberalisation Bill, which will bring about transparency and competition in the sector respectively.
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ItemDevelopment of School Management Information System for Good Hope Nabulagala Primary School using Python and Django(Makerere University, 2026)This dissertation details the design, development, and implementation of the GSMIS, a bespoke multi-portal web application engineered for GHNPS. Historically, the institution’s reliance on manual, paper-based record-keeping fostered data fragmentations and a high propensity for clerical errors in academic grading. Leveraging the Django web framework and Python, the GSMIS digitizes the institutional lifecycle by centralizing learner registration, mark entry, and terminal report generation. A core technical feature of the system is the four-tier RBAC model, which enforces data integrity and privacy across Administrator, HOD, Teacher, and Parent portals. Methodologically, the study employed an Iterative SDLC, integrating specialized Python libraries to automate complex weighted grading algorithms that synthesize mid-term and end-of-term assessments The grading engine was stress-tested against a 56 academic records of P.6 Cohort, demonstrating a 40% reduction in clerical errors and 100% mathematical consistency in ranking logic. Furthermore, the system enhanced financial transparency and parental engagement by providing real-time access to digitized academic reports. The study concludes that localized, bespoke software solutions are critical for bridging the digital divide and fostering data-driven decision-making within the Ugandan primary education sector
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ItemDomestic savings and economic growth in Uganda: a time series analysis (1994 – 2023).(Makerere University, 2026)This study examines the effect of domestic savings on economic growth in Uganda over the period 1994–2023, motivated by an apparent paradox in which gross domestic savings more than doubled, from approximately 7.7% to 18.8% of GDP, while GDP growth trended downward over the same period. Guided by the Harrod-Domar model, the Solow growth model, and the Loanable Funds Theory, the study pursues two specific objectives: to analyze the trend of domestic savings and economic growth in Uganda from 1994 to 2023, and to examine the long-run and short-run effects of domestic savings on economic growth over the same period. Annual secondary data on GDP growth, gross domestic savings, gross capital formation, and inflation were obtained from the World Bank World Development Indicators, while real interest rate data were sourced from Bank of Uganda annual reports. Trend analysis confirmed a statistically significant rise in domestic savings alongside a statistically significant decline in GDP growth. Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests showed that all series are integrated of order one, I(1), justifying the use of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. The bounds test confirmed cointegration among the variables at the 1% significance level. The long-run estimates show that domestic savings has a negative and marginally significant effect on GDP growth, a result consistent with the Keynesian paradox of thrift and with structural weaknesses in Uganda's financial intermediation. Gross capital formation and inflation were statistically insignificant in the long run, while the real interest rate carried the expected negative sign without reaching conventional significance. In the short run, none of the differenced explanatory variables were significant, but the error correction term was negative and highly significant, confirming rapid adjustment toward long-run equilibrium. All diagnostic tests confirmed the statistical validity of the model. The study concludes that savings mobilization alone is not sufficient to accelerate growth in Uganda and recommends that policymakers prioritize deepening financial intermediation, lowering the cost of credit, and improving the productivity of capital formation so that mobilized savings translate more effectively into output growth.
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ItemThe contribution of coffee production to the standards of living of coffee farmers in Bungokho-Mutoto subcounty Mbale district(Makerere University, 2025)This study aimed at finding out the contributions of coffee production to the standards of living of coffee farmers in Mbale District. The specific objectives of this study included finding out the relationship between earnings from coffee and expenditure on health, education, food, leisure and assets and also finding out the relationship between earnings from coffee and other variables such as sex of the farmer, level of education, land size, household size and marital status. Simple random sampling was used to find the sample size that was considered during this study where a total of 119 farmers were interviewed. Also, ANOVA and multiple regression analysis were used to find out the association between earnings from coffee and expenditure on health, education, food, leisure and assets. Data analysis was done using STATA. The results from this study showed that there were more males (78%) than women (41%) and most of the farmers were married (83%). The results further revealed that earnings from coffee had a positive weak relationship with expenditure on education (r= 0.0431, p=0.6419) and food (r=0.1394, p=0.1306) and a negative relationship with expenditure on health (r=-0.1206, p=0.1913), leisure (r=-0.1316, p=0.1537) and assets (r=-0.0099, p=0.9147). In addition, a higher average expenditure on education was also recorded (861,747) and lower expenditure on leisure (126,505). The study also revealed that the relationship between earning from other sources and expenditure on health and education was significant with r and p values; (r=0.2528, p=0.0055) and (r=0.3345, p=0.002) respectively. I recommended however, that more efforts are still needed in coffee production so that farmers can meet their expenditures. Furthermore. Research should be done on the contributions of coffee production to the growth and development of SACCOS in Mbale district.
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ItemInflation dynamics and household consumption: an empirical analysis across economic periods (2000 – 2024).(Makerere University, 2026)This study examines the effect of inflation on household consumption in Uganda over the period 2000 to 2024 using annual time-series data sourced from the World Bank World Development Indicators. Existing studies in Uganda treat this relationship as structurally static and fail to apply time series methods capable of distinguishing short run from long run dynamic gaps this study examines. The study pursues two specific objectives: To examine how the relationship between inflation and household consumption varies across different economic periods and to determine the short-run and long-run effects of inflation on household consumption. To address the first objective, the study estimates an Ordinary Least Squares regression of household consumption on inflation, real GDP per capita and an interaction term between inflation and an economic crisis dummy which tests whether the relationship is dependent on periods. To address the second objective, Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root tests are first conducted to establish each variable’s order of integration and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach is applied followed by an Error Correction Model (ECM) that decomposes the relationship into short run dynamics and a long run equilibrium correcting term. Diagnostic tests for heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity and serial correlation are conducted throughout to validate the OLS estimates. The results indicate no statistically significant relationship between household consumption and inflation in Uganda. While the estimated coefficients are negative, neither coefficient is statistically significant at conventional levels. Consequently, both null hypotheses are not rejected. Real GDP per capita is confirmed as the dominant positive driver of household consumption, with a coefficient of 0.0513 (p < 0.001), confirming income as the primary determinant of consumption. The ARDL bounds test indicates no statistically significant long run cointegration at conventional levels, though the Error Correction Term is negative (0.1454) and the long-run model is statistically significant overall (R² = 0.9550, F = 106.10, p < 0.001). The speed of adjustment is approximately 14.5% per year. The study recommends that the Bank of Uganda sustain inflation below 5% through monetary policy as a precautionary measure and that the government implement fiscal measures targeting household income support during crisis periods. These findings have important implications for macroeconomic policy design and household welfare protection in Uganda.