School of Statistics and Planning (SSP) Collection
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ItemDeterminants of safe sex negotiation among married women in rural areas of Uganda(Makerere University, 2023)Background: Improving women’s ability to negotiate for safer sex would have positive effects on their sexual and reproductive health such as reduction in sexually transmitted infections that could cause harm and damage to a woman. In my study I examined the relationship between safe sex negotiations among married women in rural areas of Uganda. Methods: In the study I used the qualitative analysis of Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (UDHS) data of 2016. A total of weighted sample of 8,366.5 married women in rural areas aged 15–49 were included in our analyses. I examined the association between safe sex negotiation and independent variables using the bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis and using the univariate analysis to find out the frequency and percentages. Results: The overall prevalence of safe sex negotiation among married women in rural areas of Uganda was 79.2% where age, education, wealth status, region and frequency of watching television were found out to be the predictors of SSN among married women in rural areas of Uganda. Women aged 20-24 are 90% more likely to negotiate for safe sex than women in age group of 15–19 years. Likewise, those with at least primary level of education 67.37% approximately with [OR= (0.1493205); CI = 1.167-1.758] are more likely to negotiate for safe sex compared to those with no formal education. Women in middle wealth index 44.31% [OR = 1.264689; CI = 1.032-1.549] are more likely to negotiate for safe sex than those in the poor wealth index. Conclusions: The finding will help in increasing male involvement in sexual and reproductive health is important to accelerate progress towards the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal (3 & 5) and their targets on empowering all women and safeguarding their reproductive rights. The findings will also enhance women’s awareness of safe sexual practices and how to achieve safe sexual relations with partners and also know the risky sexual behaviours and avoid them as early as possible.
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ItemThe effect of youth livelihood program on youth income levels in Uganda: a case study of Kagadi District( 2024)The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of youth livelihood program on youth income levels in Uganda kagadi district. The study was guided by following objectives, (i) To assess the effect of youth participation ln the youth livelihood program on their lncome levels. ii)To determine the effect of demographic factors on youth income levels ,(iii)To assess the effect of social-economic factors on the youth income levels . There were 129 respondents (sample size) involved consisting of both youth who participate in the youth livelihood program(57.36%) and those who don’t participate in the youth livelihood program(42.63%) .The study was mainly primary in nature that is (cross sectional survey) where structured close ended questionnaires and personal interviews were applied in field while collecting data about the youth in kagadi district. The statistical software analysis tool used was STATA. Univariate , Bivariate and Multivariate analysis were made where univariate analysis part consisted and frequencies and percentages , bivariate analysis included a chi-square analysis in determining the level of association between each of the independent variable relating it to the the dependent variable .An ordered logistic regression was conducted using stata and results were found partipation in youth livelihood program is positively related to current level of income of the youth .The findings in the study include the following ; (i) access to market and current level of saving were found statistically significant with p-values of 0.010 and 0.000 respectively , and this brings us to a conclusion of rejecting null hypothesis respectively which states that “Social-economic factors such as savings and access to market statistically influence the income levels of the youth “. Unlike working hours, Age ,Paticipation, Level of Education , Sex and type of business are found not to be statistically influencing the incomes of youth in Kagadi District and thus we fail to reject null hypothesis .Similarly findings reveals that participation in YLP is not statistically significant since the p-value og 0.565 is greater than 0.05 but participating in the YLP increases the likelihood of the youth in earning a higher level of income by 0.2234 compared to those who do not participate in the program . In conclusion there is no significant impact of youth livelihood program on the youth income levels of kagadi district. Recommendations , Ensure that higher education programs are practical and aligned with market needs to improve the employability of graduates , Focus on market-oriented technical and vocational training to enhance employability and match skills with job market demands. Conclusion from The analysis indicates that the Youth Livelihood Program alone does not have a statistically significant impact on reducing youth poverty level (or increasing income levels) in Kagadi District . This implies youth livelihood program has not been effective enough on the youth who participated through there different youth groups due to different factors associated during the implementation of the program .
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ItemFactors that affect women's participation in entrepreneurship : a case study of Rubaga Division(Makerere University, 2022)The purpose of the study is to find out the factors affecting women's participation in entrepreneurship. This study adopted a descriptive survey design method and data was collected from 68 students from the Rubaga division using questionnaires. The study analyzed data at univariate, bivariate and Multivariate levels using SPSS and STAT A. In order to test for the hypothesis, the study used the multivariate logistic regression at 95% confidence interval. Results from the study showed that majority of the respondents were single (85.3%) were in age group (32.4%) had attained primary education (47.1 %), results from the study showed that the highest proportion of women got skills before beginning business (35 .3%), strongly agreed that they got skills in the process of doing business (38.2%), these also strongly agreed that Lack of entrepreneurship skills has made it difficult to start a business (33.8%) and lastly they agreed that if they had entrepreneurship skills I would immediately start another business (27.9%) At the multivariate level of analysis, results showed that there was a positive significant relationship between demographic, economic factors and women's participation in entrepreneurship since p-value
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ItemModeling the determinants of internship-to-job retention among second-year students at Makerere University: a binary logistic regression approach(Makerere University, 2025)The transition from academic internships to permanent employment represents a critical milestone in the school-to-work transition for statistics and economics students. This study aimed to model the determinants of internship-to-job retention among second-year students at the School of Statistics and Planning (SSP), Makerere University. Utilizing a cross-sectional research design, primary data was collected from a sample of 240 respondents using structured questionnaires. The study employed univariate, bivariate (Pearson’s Chi-square), and multivariate (Binary Logistic Regression) analysis techniques to identify significant predictors of retention. The results revealed a retention rate of 30.4% among the sampled students. Bivariate analysis indicated that while academic performance (CGPA) and supervision quality showed associations with retention, they were not statistically significant at the 5% level. However, the Binary Logistic Regression model, which demonstrated high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.8126), identified several key significant determinants. Age was found to have a positive influence on retention (OR = 1.135, p = 0.032), suggesting that maturity is highly valued by employers. In contrast, the organizational sector played a critical role; interning within the NGO sector significantly reduced the odds of retention (OR = 0.244, p = 0.036) compared to the public sector. Furthermore, the source of the internship was paramount, as students who secured placements via direct applications were significantly less likely to be retained (OR = 0.140, p = 0.039) than those placed through university-mediated channels. These findings suggest that internship-to-job retention is driven more by institutional signaling and organizational characteristics than by academic metrics alone. The study concludes that strengthening university-industry partnerships is essential for enhancing graduate employability. It is recommended that the School of Statistics and Planning formalizes more placement agreements with high-retention sectors and that students prioritize internships in organizations with established hire-back policies to optimize their career entry trajectories. Keywords: Internship Retention, Binary Logistic Regression, Makerere University, School-to-Work Transition, Statistics Students.
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ItemDeterminants of exchange rate volatility in Uganda.(Makerere University, 2026)Exchange rate volatility remains a persistent challenge for Uganda's commodity-dependent economy, affecting trade, investment, and macroeconomic stability under the Bank of Uganda's flexible exchange rate system. This study looks at the factors that affect the volatility of the USD/UGX exchange rate between 2010 and 2024. It focuses on monetary factors (money supply and money demand as measured by GDP and interest rates), external factors (trade balance and foreign direct investment), and the moderating effect of foreign exchange reserves. The study uses descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, GARCH (1,1) modeling to estimate conditional volatility, and multiple linear regression to evaluate the determinants of volatility using annual time-series data from the Bank of Uganda, World Bank, and IMF. Compared to the widespread belief of growing instability, the results show a steady decrease in exchange rate volatility from 2012 to 2024. While foreign direct investment inflows exhibit a considerable positive correlation with volatility, economic growth (GDP) has a strong, significant negative influence. This is probably because of shortterm pressures from big, irregular capital flows, particularly those related to oil. In the multivariate model, the money supply, interest rates, trade balance, and reserves all show negligible effects; nonetheless, reserves seem to support long-term stabilization through better fundamentals and policy credibility. Multiple regression reveals that real GDP exerts a strong, significant negative effect on volatility (β = −1.54 × 10⁻⁵, p < 0.05), suggesting that sustained economic growth substantially reduces exchange rate fluctuations. FDI inflows display a significant positive association (β = 2.63 × 10⁻⁴, p < 0.05), consistent with shortterm currency pressures from large, irregular capital flows (particularly oil-related). Money supply (M2), interest rates, trade balance, and reserves show insignificant coefficients in the multivariate model (all p > 0.05), though reserves likely support long-run stability through enhanced policy credibility and import cover.